Gabriel is a Managing Director focusing on political risk analysis in China. He was previously Shanghai Bureau Chief for the Financial Times, where he covered China’s macro-economy, financial system, and markets.
Prior to the Financial Times, Gabriel served as the China Finance Correspondent and Markets Correspondent for Reuters, where he wrote daily reports on China’s interbank foreign exchange and money markets. He also worked as a research analyst for SK Group China and as the Beijing bureau chief for GaveKal-Dragonomics, a macro-economic consultancy. He graduated magna cum laude from Brown University and is fluent in Mandarin.
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Weekly Political Compass 4.29.24
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at US-Taiwan trade talks. Meanwhile, Japan’s main opposition party won all three seats in by-elections, Turkey’s ruling coalition is set to launch a new effort for constitutional…
April 29, 2024
By
Wolfango Piccoli, Gabriel Wildau
What to Watch in 2024: Outlooks for the Year Ahead from Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team
Foreword The Global Year Ahead The events of 2023 suggest that the global system has entered an intense period of structural transition that will reorder geopolitics and reshape the international business environment in fundamental ways. Russia’s war in Ukraine continues, frozen conflicts have reignited in places like Israel/Gaza and Nagorno-Karabakh,…
December 6, 2023
By
Kevin Kajiwara, Wolfango Piccoli, Anne Frühauf, Emily Stromquist, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, James Brady, Arpit Chaturvedi, , Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Shamaila Ashraf, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, Jon B. Alterman, Meghan McDonough, James Crossland, Orson Porter
China/Philippines: South China Sea Conflict Risk Still Low, but Rising
Two collisions in disputed waters highlight the longer-term trend of increased assertiveness by both Manila and Beijing in their attempts to assert sovereignty. The risk continues to be of a miscalculation, not intentional escalation; both sides will try to avoid an "armed attack" that would invoke the US-Philippines Mutual Defense…
October 26, 2023
By
Gabriel Wildau, Bob Herrera-Lim
Asia: How the Rise in Conflicts Globally Impacts Asia’s Hotspots
Growing incidences of conflicts globally raise questions about the effects on Asia, which has some of the world’s most significant geopolitical hotspots. Below, we examine how dynamics in East and Southeast Asia are being influenced by broader global events, for worse or (sometimes) better. The basic takeaway is that there…
October 17, 2023
By
James Brady, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Victor D. Cha
Weekly Political Compass 9.18.23
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at the EU’s investigation into Chinese EV subsidies. Meanwhile, monetary policy change looks unlikely in Japan, the leaders of Turkey and Greece will…
September 18, 2023
By
Wolfango Piccoli, Gabriel Wildau
What to Watch in 2023: Outlooks for the Year Ahead from Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team
A year ago, political, corporate and market leaders across the globe contemplated what the buildup of Russian forces along Ukraine’s borders would portend. While the U.S. administration and intelligence community warned that a Russian invasion was likely, many corporate leaders and market participants were nevertheless taken by surprise when it…
December 14, 2022
By
Kevin Kajiwara, Wolfango Piccoli, Anne Frühauf, James Brady, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Emily Stromquist, , Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, Shamaila Ashraf, Meghan McDonough, Jon B. Alterman
EU/China: Hawks on the Rise, but no Decoupling in Sight
The divisions between hawks and doves continue to complicate a common EU policy towards China, but even dovish member states such as France and Germany are struggling to develop a joint strategic approach. The deterioration of the EU-China relationship in the last few months has not had severe material implications…
October 31, 2022
By
, Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Gabriel Wildau
Asia: Record High LNG Prices Threaten Fragile Post-Pandemic Recoveries
Record high LNG prices have resulted in large cuts to LNG imports across Asia with varied impacts depending on spot market exposure, fuel-switching options and economic responses. Countries in Southeast Asia tend to be the most exposed, whereas countries like India, China, Japan, or South Korea have more fuel-switching options…
September 26, 2022
By
Emily Stromquist, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, James Brady
Teneo Insights Series: China Update: CCP Turns 100, Data Security Concerns, US-China Policy and the 2022 Olympics
Paul Haenle, Chairman of Teneo’s Asia Pacific Region, Director of the Carnegie-Tsinghua Center in Beijing, and former Director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolian Affairs on the National Security Council staffs of Presidents Bush and Obama, and Gabriel Wildau, Teneo Senior Vice President, former Shanghai Bureau Chief for the Financial Times…
August 12, 2021
By
Kevin Kajiwara, , Gabriel Wildau
Teneo Insights Webinar: What to Watch in 2021
Carsten Nickel, Managing Director at Teneo, Jon Alterman, Teneo Senior Advisor, Anne Frühauf, Managing Director at Teneo, Nicholas Watson, Managing Director at Teneo, and Gabriel Wildau, Senior Vice President at Teneo, join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss what business leaders should look out for in 2021. …
December 3, 2020
By
Carsten Nickel, Jon B. Alterman, Anne Frühauf, Nicholas Watson, Gabriel Wildau, Kevin Kajiwara
The Broad Trends Shaping Asia October 23, 2020
By
, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau
A Weekly Update From Teneo: Hong Kong National Security Law – New Challenges for Companies Doing Business in China
Paul Haenle, Damien Ryan, Gabriel Wildau and Jerome Hauer Ph.D. join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss the New Challenges for Companies Doing Business in China. Listen to the Call Kevin Kajiwara (KK): Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining today's…
July 27, 2020
By
, Damien Ryan, Gabriel Wildau, , Kevin Kajiwara
Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Recording and Transcript from 6.4.20
Paul Haenle, Simon Buckby, Gabriel Wildau and Jerome Hauer, Ph.D, join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss the coronavirus and its effects on the U.S. - China relationship. Listen to the Call Kevin Kajiwara (KK): Well, good day everyone and welcome…
June 4, 2020
By
, , Gabriel Wildau, , Kevin Kajiwara
Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Recording and Transcript from 4.23.20
Jerome Hauer, Ph.D, Gabriel Wildau, Paul Haenle and Oscar Wang join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss China's role in the Coronavirus crisis and how it will effect relations with the U.S. going forward. Listen to the Call Kevin Kajiwara (KK):…
April 23, 2020
By
, , Oscar Wang, Gabriel Wildau, Kevin Kajiwara
Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Transcript and Recording from 4.2.20
Jerome Hauer, Ph.D, Gabriel Wildau, Martha Carter, Orson Porter, and Tony Sayegh join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss the latest updates and developments regarding the effect of the coronavirus. Listen to the Call Kevin Kajiwara (KK): Good morning everyone or…
April 2, 2020
By
, Gabriel Wildau, Kevin Kajiwara, Martha Carter, Orson Porter,
Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Transcript and Recording from 3.5.20
Andrea Calise, Jerome Hauer, Ph.D and Gabriel Wildau join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss the latest updates and developments regarding the effect of the coronavirus. Listen to the Call Kevin Kajiwara (KK): Welcome to today's Teneo Insights call. I’m…
March 13, 2020
By
Andrea Calise, , Kevin Kajiwara, Gabriel Wildau
Coronavirus Update from Teneo – Call Transcript and Recording from 2.13.20
Andrea Calise, Jerome Hauer, Ph.D, Oscar Wang and Gabriel Wildau join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss the latest updates and developments regarding the effect of the coronavirus. Listen to the Call Kevin Kajiwara (KK): I’m Kevin Kajiwara, Co-President of…
February 21, 2020
By
Andrea Calise, , Kevin Kajiwara, Oscar Wang, Gabriel Wildau
Teneo Risk Public Health Update: Coronavirus
Virus Continues to Spread in China Despite Efforts As China continues to struggle to contain the spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19), the United States and most Western European countries have taken aggressive approaches to responding to the virus, limiting the exposure of their populaces to the disease and slowing the…
February 14, 2020
By
Andrea Calise, , Oscar Wang, Gabriel Wildau
Hong Kong: Continued Unrest with No Clear Path to a Resolution
Kevin Kajiwara (KK): Welcome to today’s Teneo Insights call on Hong Kong and the continued unrest there, and the potential path to a resolution. I’m Kevin Kajiwara, co-President of Teneo’s Political Risk Advisory business. Guiding us through today’s conversation, I’m joined by three of my colleagues: Damien Ryan, the CEO…
December 16, 2019
By
, Kevin Kajiwara, Damien Ryan, Gabriel Wildau
Asia at a Crossroads: Rising Powers Contest U.S. Dominance
The rise of China is upsetting the longstanding geopolitical equilibrium in East Asia. The U.S. has dominated the region militarily since World War II, while U.S. economic and diplomatic clout has allowed it to exert regional influence with carrots as well as sticks. Today, the U.S.’ position in Asia faces…
November 13, 2019
By
Bob Herrera-Lim, , Gabriel Wildau
Chaos in Hong Kong: Protests and Unrest Persist
A discussion between Paul Haenle, Damien Ryan and Gabriel Wildau. Moderated by Kevin Kajiwara. Kevin Kajiwara (KK): Today we’re going to discuss the outlook for the unrest that we continue to see in Hong Kong and look at the impact on markets, geopolitics and businesses operating in Hong Kong. Starting…
October 11, 2019
By
, Damien Ryan, Gabriel Wildau, Kevin Kajiwara